Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:47:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x1694…2868
other · 7 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$11 +89%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 9¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-61%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Over 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$19 +1843%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 42% +$15
other 33% −$4
crypto 25% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY 10¢ $3 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Over 15¢ $2 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Over 5¢ $1 5h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 5h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 7h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 11h
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+251.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +288.5% +251.5% 20% 20% +125.2%
≤30d 5 +288.5% +251.5% 20% 20% +125.2%
≤90d 5 +288.5% +251.5% 20% 20% +125.2%
all 5 +288.5% +251.5% 20% 20% +125.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +251.5% 20% +125.2%
10% +217.9% 20% +103.6%
15% +187.2% 20% +83.9%
20% +159.0% 20% +65.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.39 · official $3.39 · 9 history records