Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:48:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
16 0x16ac…1982 crypto 73 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$22 (+1%) realized +$22 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate100%73W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$38per market
Trades / day53.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$85now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +2.1% -7.6% 100% 4% -8.1%
≤30d 73 +2.1% -7.6% 100% 4% -8.1%
≤90d 73 +2.1% -7.6% 100% 4% -8.1%
all 73 +2.1% -7.6% 100% 4% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 4% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 0% -16.9%
15% -24.5% 0% -24.9%
20% -31.9% 0% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$85
Realized+$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses73 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)73 / 73
History coverage2d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day53.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 73 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $148 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $148 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $148 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $148 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $148 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $146 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $148 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $99 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $38 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $13 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $36 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $12 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $37 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $91 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $28 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $17 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $85.00 · official $85.00 (match) · 174 history records