Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x16b0…acde
crypto · 1651 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$67 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$502
Realized−$9
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1642 / 21
Est. fees paid−$47
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1663 / 1651
History coverage4d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day507.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 8 History 1663 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 42¢ $440 $415 −$25 (-6%)
Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026? No 85¢ 83¢ $31 $30 −$1 (-2%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+6%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 82¢ 82¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 76¢ 64¢ $8 $6 −$1 (-16%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 59¢ 60¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 20¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 37¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +51%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 3PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $71 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $95 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$56
other 7% −$67
sports 6% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 82¢ $16 0m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 18¢ $8 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $79 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 29m
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $16 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 39m
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 63¢ $3 40m
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 63¢ $3 40m
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 63¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 40m
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 63¢ $32 47m
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 63¢ $74 47m
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 63¢ $7 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1663 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 1663 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 1663 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.6%
all 1663 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover507.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $502.30 · official $488.88 · 3500 history records