Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x16b2…a881
sports · 114 markets active 156d ago
0.0score
−$4,808,321 -598%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,808,321 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 603 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,658,190
7 days−$4,658,190
14 days−$4,658,190
30 days−$4,658,190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 Over 44¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13? No 48¢ $423 $0 −$423 (-100%)
Saints vs. Panthers: O/U 39.5 Over 46¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Mavericks Mavericks 44¢ $19,775 $0 −$19,775 (-100%)
Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5 Over 46¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims) Vettori 50¢ $1,441 $0 −$1,441 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-17.5) Thunder 56¢ $1,297 $0 −$1,297 (-100%)
Tulane vs. Memphis: O/U 54.5 Under 52¢ $7,843 $0 −$7,843 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) Thunder 45¢ $2,629 $0 −$2,629 (-100%)
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) Kings 51¢ $7,130 $0 −$7,130 (-100%)
Jets vs. Bengals: O/U 44.5 Under 52¢ $2,700 $0 −$2,700 (-100%)
Packers vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5 Under 45¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) Blue Jackets 34¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Spread: James Madison (-7.5) Texas State 50¢ $239,579 $0 −$239,579 (-100%)
Spread: Army (-7.5) Connecticut 49¢ $68,320 $0 −$68,320 (-100%)
Spread: Islanders (-1.5) Red Wings 65¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 Under 52¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Southern Miss (-13.5) UL Monroe 50¢ $38,388 $0 −$38,388 (-100%)
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03? No 40¢ $10,711 $0 −$10,711 (-100%)
Spread: Jacksonville State (-1.5) Troy 44¢ $1,818 $0 −$1,818 (-100%)
LSU vs. Oklahoma: O/U 36.5 Over 48¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 Over 49¢ $617 $0 −$617 (-100%)
Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5 Over 48¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Mavericks Mavericks 26¢ $2,440 $0 −$2,440 (-100%)
Spread: Lions (-7.5) Lions 47¢ $1,792 $0 −$1,792 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13? Jun 12 $423 −$423 -100%
Saints vs. Panthers: O/U 39.5 Jun 12 $400 −$400 -100%
Bucks vs. Mavericks Jun 12 $19,775 −$19,775 -100%
Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims) Jun 12 $1,441 −$1,441 -100%
Tulane vs. Memphis: O/U 54.5 Jun 12 $7,843 −$7,843 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) Jun 12 $2,629 −$2,629 -100%
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) Jun 12 $7,130 −$7,130 -100%
Jets vs. Bengals: O/U 44.5 Jun 12 $2,700 −$2,700 -100%
Packers vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: James Madison (-7.5) Jun 12 $239,579 −$239,579 -100%
Spread: Army (-7.5) Jun 12 $68,320 −$68,320 -100%
Spread: Islanders (-1.5) Jun 12 $108 −$108 -100%
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Southern Miss (-13.5) Jun 12 $38,388 −$38,388 -100%
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03? Jun 12 $10,711 −$10,711 -100%
Spread: Jacksonville State (-1.5) Jun 12 $1,818 −$1,818 -100%
LSU vs. Oklahoma: O/U 36.5 Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $617 −$617 -100%
Kings vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5 Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Knicks vs. Mavericks Jun 12 $2,440 −$2,440 -100%
Spread: Lions (-7.5) Jun 12 $1,792 −$1,792 -100%
Spread: Illinois (-13.5) Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
Bayern München vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4,977 −$4,977 -100%
Spread: Ravens (-7.5) Jun 12 $76,640 −$76,640 -100%
Mavericks vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5 Jun 12 $549 −$549 -100%
Islanders vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $426 −$426 -100%
Jazz vs. Warriors: O/U 244.5 Jun 12 $397 −$397 -100%
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $535 −$535 -100%
Fresno State vs. San Jose State Jun 12 $5,236 −$5,236 -100%
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights Jun 12 $1,870 −$1,870 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) Jun 12 $15,955 −$15,955 -100%
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5 Jun 12 $50,981 −$50,981 -100%
Spread: Ohio State (-31.5) Jun 12 $8,673 −$8,673 -100%
Will San Diego FC win on 2025-11-24? Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Boise State vs. Nevada Wolf Pack Jun 12 $836 −$836 -100%
Cowboys vs. Raiders Jun 12 $13,075 −$13,075 -100%
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Grizzlies vs. Warriors Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Pacers vs. Magic Jun 12 $312 −$312 -100%
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-25? Jun 12 $1,220 −$1,220 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Nuggets vs. Pacers Jun 12 $2,893 −$2,893 -100%
Raptors vs. Bucks Jun 12 $2,509 −$2,509 -100%
Spread: Clippers (-2.5) Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Predators vs. Blues Jun 12 $65,581 −$65,581 -100%
Spread: Alabama (-9.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$160,430
other 8% +$10,299
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $3 155d
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $16 155d
Spread: Rockets (-5.5) BUY Rockets 55¢ $6 155d
Spread: Rockets (-5.5) BUY Rockets 55¢ $110 155d
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $3,620 155d
Spread: Rockets (-5.5) BUY Rockets 55¢ $98 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $275 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,165 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,165 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $52 155d
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) BUY Knicks 47¢ $1,807 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,020 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $24 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $312 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,165 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $913 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $208 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
Spread: Rockets (-6.5) BUY Rockets 51¢ $1,428 155d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-75.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 489 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 489 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 489 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 603 -72.8% -75.4% 11% 11% -89.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2107.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -75.4% 11% -89.7%
10% -77.8% 10% -90.7%
15% ← realistic here -79.9% 10% -91.6%
20% -81.9% 9% -92.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records