trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5 | Under | 86¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+16%) |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5) | Spurs | 88¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+14%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 102.5 | Over | 90¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+11%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5 | Over | 90¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+11%) |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | Spurs | 91¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+10%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5 | Under | 95¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5 | Under | 95¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 99.5 | Over | 97¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+3%) |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Spurs | 97¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+3%) |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | Knicks | 97¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 123.5 | Over | 98¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5 | Over | 98¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 117.5 | Over | 98¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5 | Over | 99¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Knicks | 99¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Knicks | 99¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Spurs | 97¢ | 46¢ | $5 | $2 | −$3 (-52%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | Down | 38¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | Down | 38¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | Down | 51¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Up | 49¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Rockets | 84¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $0 | −$50 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 124.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5) | Jun 14 | $5 | −$1 | -24% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | −$1 | -13% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | Jun 14 | $5 | −$1 | -16% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5 | Jun 14 | $5 | −$1 | -13% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $100 | −$6 | -6% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 123.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 117.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5) | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +14% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $65 | −$2 | -4% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Jun 09 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5) | Jun 09 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5 | Jun 09 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | Jun 09 | $5 | +$1 | +13% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Jun 09 | $5 | −$1 | -14% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 99.5 | Jun 09 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 102.5 | Jun 09 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $50 | −$3 | -6% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 110.5 | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5 | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 06 | $5 | −$1 | -17% |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 104.5 | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 98.5 | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 122.5 | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5 | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5) | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5 | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5 | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5 | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 112.5 | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | Jun 05 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 05 | $65 | +$1 | +2% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $75 | +$2 | +3% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $50 | +$9 | +18% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $50 | −$6 | -12% |
| 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5) | May 27 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | May 26 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $50 | −$4 | -9% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 65% | 31% | -11.7% |
| ≤30d | 79 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 71% | 25% | -7.9% |
| ≤90d | 284 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 52% | 32% | -9.1% |
| all | 852 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 49% | 40% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.8% | 40% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -19.3% | 23% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -27.1% | 22% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 21% | -32.9% |