Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x16bc…d23a
crypto · 33 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$18,062 +58%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18,016 · open −$42
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$399
Realized+$18,016
Unrealized−$42
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses324 / 196
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)520 / 33
Avg bet$939
Trades / day3396.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 520 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18,016
7 days+$18,016
14 days+$18,016
30 days+$18,016
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $186 $211 +$26 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $132 $167 +$35 (+26%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Down 45¢ 76¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+69%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Up 38¢ 24¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-36%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+75%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $31 $1 −$30 (-98%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12AM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+31%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 34¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+190%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$29 +4583%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$27 +6761%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$247 -46907%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$50 +781%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$47 +38710%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$55 +34537%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$91 -45935%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$110 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $44 +$122 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$256 +723%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$6 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$92 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$122 +463%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$13 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$7 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$61 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$13 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$138 +2353%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$16 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$147 +1153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $240 −$371 -154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$137 -289%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$227 +1652%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$305 +1455%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$16 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$131 +843%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$161 +466%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$147 +638%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$35 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$178 -308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$328 +1143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$21 -281%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$122 +1083%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$43 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $193 −$212 -110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$50 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$307 +7820%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $45 +$101 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$31 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$29 -111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $123 −$88 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$52 -236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $64 +$109 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$28 +621%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $174 −$174 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$820
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $36 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $35 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $36 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $34 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $34 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $21 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $12 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $34 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $34 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $33 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $34 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $32 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $23 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+356.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 520 +404.7% +356.7% 62% 59% +24.3%
≤30d 520 +404.7% +356.7% 62% 59% +24.3%
≤90d 520 +404.7% +356.7% 62% 59% +24.3%
all 520 +404.7% +356.7% 62% 59% +24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3396.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +356.7% 59% +24.3%
10% ← realistic here +313.0% 58% +12.4%
15% +273.1% 57% +1.6%
20% +236.5% 54% -8.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $399.02 · official $394.09 · 3500 history records