trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 50% | 50% | -31.1% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 50% | 50% | -31.1% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 50% | 50% | -31.1% |
| all | 2 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 50% | 50% | -31.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -31.1% | 50% | -31.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -37.7% | 50% | -37.7% |
| 15% | -43.7% | 50% | -43.7% |
| 20% | -49.2% | 50% | -49.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | $14 | $14 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 27¢ | 28¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | Yes | 47¢ | 48¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | No | 69¢ | 66¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |