Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:04:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x16d9…f905
crypto · 47 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$36,890 +132%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$36,890 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$36,890
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses265 / 198
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)463 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$594
Trades / day3389.0
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 463 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36,890
7 days+$36,890
14 days+$36,890
30 days+$36,890
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+130%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+93%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+105%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+189%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$108 +802%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$126 +532%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$17 +5754%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -1404%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$208 +1259%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$103 -35220%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$21 -255%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$109 +248%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $65 +$130 +199%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $99 −$146 -148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$127 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$226 +572%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$166 +311%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$119 +1710%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$516 +14971%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$48 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$76 -133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$85 +1499%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$335 +1130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $77 −$47 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$773 +2209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$608 +24097%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$97 -178%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$10 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $306 −$773 -253%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$77 +176%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $147 −$538 -365%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$20 -1913%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$87 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$456 +2338%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $82 −$45 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$356 +1262%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $80 −$241 -301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$649 +4874%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$546 +895%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$58 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$97 +289%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$228
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $27 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)+443.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 463 +500.8% +443.6% 57% 53% +50.2%
≤30d 463 +500.8% +443.6% 57% 53% +50.2%
≤90d 463 +500.8% +443.6% 57% 53% +50.2%
all 463 +500.8% +443.6% 57% 53% +50.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3389.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +443.6% 53% +50.2%
10% ← realistic here +391.6% 52% +35.8%
15% +344.1% 52% +22.7%
20% +300.6% 51% +10.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.63 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records