Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T20:30:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
16 0x16dc…adee other 6 markets active 2h ago coverage 12d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$4,225 (-68%) realized −$4,225 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip
Net edge-100%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,036per market
Trades / day9.5pace
Fees−$44est.
Kalshi-fit33%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,878
7 days−$4,024
14 days−$6,103
30 days−$6,103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 76% −$4,623
sports 24% −$1,481
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 6 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 6 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 6 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
19.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$1,017 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,225
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage12d
Avg bet$1,036
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions (6 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 23 $1,405 −$1,389 -99%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? Jun 23 $498 −$489 -98%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $2,200 −$2,145 -98%
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 14 $91 −$91 -100%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $732 −$731 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,292 −$1,257 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 0¢ $500 2h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 0¢ $201 2h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 0¢ $205 2h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 0¢ $92 2h
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 0¢ $295 2h
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 2h
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 2h
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 0¢ $90 2h
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $515 2h
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $1,005 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $1,028 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $4 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $13 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $20 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $6 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $20 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $79 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $8 6d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 6d
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $11 9d
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 9d
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 9d
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 117 history records