Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:05:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

16
0x16fb…5008
crypto · 700 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$52 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses373 / 326
Open positions0
Markets (closed)699 / 700
History coverage16d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day75.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 699 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$79
14 days−$52
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 8PM ET? No 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 10, 7AM ET? No 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 7PM ET? No 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 10AM ET? No 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 10, 10PM ET? No 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 10, 9AM ET? No 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 10, 7PM ET? No 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 10, 1PM ET? No 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 10, 9PM ET? No 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 10, 2PM ET? No 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 10, 11PM ET? No 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 10, 12PM ET? No 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 12, 6AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 5AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 5AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 12, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $2 +$13 +599%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 2AM ET? Jun 12 $2 +$5 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 2AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 8PM ET? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 7PM ET? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 11, 6PM ET? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +53%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 11, 6PM ET? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 11, 4PM ET? Jun 11 $3 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 11, 3PM ET? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 11, 4PM ET? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 4PM ET? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 3PM ET? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 11, 2PM ET? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 2PM ET? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 11, 2PM ET? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -77%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 11, 2PM ET? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 11, 2PM ET? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 10AM ET? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 9AM ET? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 11, 9AM ET? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 11, 9AM ET? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 11, 8AM ET? Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 11, 7AM ET? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 11, 6AM ET? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 11, 1AM ET? Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 11, 1AM ET? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 10, 10PM ET? Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 10, 11PM ET? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 10, 10PM ET? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$4
other 20% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin above 63,600 on June 12, 6AM ET? BUY No 23¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 5AM ET? BUY No 21¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 5AM ET? BUY No 22¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 5AM ET? BUY No 13¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 5AM ET? BUY No 31¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 5AM ET? BUY No 28¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 3AM ET? BUY No 13¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 3AM ET? BUY No 26¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 12, 3AM ET? BUY No 17¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 12, 3AM ET? BUY No 10¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 12, 3AM ET? BUY No 20¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 12, 2AM ET? BUY No 12¢ $1 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 2AM ET? BUY No 24¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 12, 2AM ET? BUY No 38¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 196 -11.4% -19.8% 35% 34% -27.8%
≤30d 699 -0.1% -9.7% 53% 46% -14.2%
≤90d 699 -0.1% -9.7% 53% 46% -14.2%
all 699 -0.1% -9.7% 53% 46% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 46% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 39% -22.4%
15% -26.2% 33% -29.9%
20% -33.4% 28% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1789 history records