trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 83% | 0% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 83% | 0% | -8.3% |
| all | 24 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 50% | 4% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.2% | 4% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 26 | $33 | +$2 | +5% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $36 | $0 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 24 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 24 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? | Dec 30 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 16 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Dec 05 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 14 | $21 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 22 | $2 | $0 | +21% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 15 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | Sep 15 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Sep 14 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Sep 14 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Sep 13 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | Sep 13 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 12 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 12 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? | Sep 11 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 11 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Sep 10 | $9 | −$3 | -31% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Sep 10 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia? | Sep 08 | $32 | $0 | -0% |