Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:05:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x1749…55ca
crypto · 876 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,467 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,960 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,960
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses395 / 928
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1323 / 876
History coverage38d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day79.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1323 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,187
7 days−$2,187
14 days−$2,187
30 days−$2,463
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - January 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 6AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 1AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$722
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-43.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 464 -96.8% -97.1% 2% 1% -95.4%
≤30d 573 -79.0% -81.0% 11% 11% -78.7%
≤90d 1323 -37.3% -43.3% 30% 29% -39.2%
all 1323 -37.3% -43.3% 30% 29% -39.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.3% 29% -39.2%
10% ← realistic here -48.7% 28% -45.1%
15% -53.6% 26% -50.4%
20% -58.2% 21% -55.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records