trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 29¢ | 80¢ | $202 | $565 | +$363 (+180%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Knicks | 36¢ | 34¢ | $167 | $158 | −$9 (-5%) |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | Justin Gaethje | 20¢ | 20¢ | $11 | $11 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 9¢ | 1¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-90%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $79 | +$87 | +109% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $13 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $237 | +$188 | +79% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 08 | $8 | +$9 | +114% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $25 | +$47 | +188% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $25 | +$43 | +172% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $25 | +$20 | +82% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +40.3% | +26.9% | 67% | 67% | +54.3% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +58.5% | +43.4% | 70% | 70% | +57.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +58.5% | +43.4% | 70% | 70% | +57.3% |
| all | 10 | +58.5% | +43.4% | 70% | 70% | +57.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +43.4% | 70% | +57.3% |
| 10% | +29.7% | 70% | +42.3% |
| 15% | +17.1% | 70% | +28.5% |
| 20% | +5.7% | 60% | +15.9% |