trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | +247.5% | +214.4% | 41% | 41% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 34 | +141.7% | +118.6% | 35% | 35% | -12.5% |
| ≤90d | 34 | +141.7% | +118.6% | 35% | 35% | -12.5% |
| all | 39 | +110.7% | +90.6% | 31% | 31% | -44.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +90.6% | 31% | -44.1% |
| 10% | +72.4% | 31% | -49.4% |
| 15% | +55.7% | 28% | -54.3% |
| 20% | +40.5% | 26% | -58.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 9¢ | 2¢ | $498 | $105 | −$394 (-79%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $103 | +$1,564 | +1521% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,619 | −$1,586 | -98% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $512 | −$122 | -24% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $165 | −$161 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $506 | +$150 | +30% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $507 | −$500 | -99% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $156 | +$217 | +140% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $102 | +$36 | +35% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $255 | −$250 | -98% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 15 | $262 | −$255 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1,028 | −$1,010 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $295 | +$997 | +338% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $305 | +$319 | +105% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $129 | +$291 | +226% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $201 | +$1,752 | +871% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $358 | +$1,164 | +325% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $509 | −$500 | -98% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 07 | $587 | −$578 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $811 | +$709 | +88% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $1,327 | −$1,276 | -96% |
| World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland | May 31 | $506 | −$500 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $2,340 | −$1,300 | -56% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $514 | −$500 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $1,027 | −$1,000 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $1,018 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $3,749 | +$5,372 | +143% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 23 | $657 | −$340 | -52% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $504 | +$210 | +42% |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Oly | Feb 22 | $3,471 | −$3,471 | -100% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 04 | $4,998 | −$4,998 | -100% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Jul 07 | $1,535 | −$1,535 | -100% |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? | Feb 25 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $450 | −$450 | -100% |