| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? |
Jun 08 |
$70 |
+$30 |
+43% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? |
May 27 |
$46 |
+$4 |
+8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? |
May 12 |
$55 |
+$40 |
+73% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? |
May 12 |
$10 |
+$3 |
+30% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
May 08 |
$99 |
−$58 |
-58% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on |
May 08 |
$1 |
−$1 |
-88% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? |
Apr 14 |
$20 |
+$10 |
+52% |
| Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026? |
Mar 01 |
$10 |
+$10 |
+106% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? |
Jan 11 |
$9 |
+$1 |
+18% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Dec 03 |
$190 |
−$5 |
-3% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday? |
Nov 19 |
$17 |
−$17 |
-100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? |
Nov 17 |
$1,561 |
−$810 |
-52% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22? |
Nov 17 |
$1,192 |
−$1,192 |
-100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? |
Nov 16 |
$948 |
−$560 |
-59% |
| Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App |
Nov 15 |
$90 |
+$10 |
+11% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15? |
Nov 15 |
$1,840 |
+$150 |
+8% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15? |
Nov 15 |
$788 |
+$65 |
+8% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7? |
Nov 10 |
$120 |
−$120 |
-100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? |
Nov 10 |
$5,855 |
−$4,612 |
-79% |
| Grokipedia released by October 31? |
Nov 10 |
$156 |
−$156 |
-100% |
| Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31? |
Nov 10 |
$673 |
−$673 |
-100% |
| Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31? |
Nov 10 |
$1,047 |
−$1,047 |
-100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15? |
Nov 10 |
$150 |
−$150 |
-100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7? |
Nov 10 |
$3,843 |
−$3,816 |
-99% |
| Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31? |
Nov 06 |
$30 |
−$21 |
-71% |
| Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31? |
Nov 03 |
$5 |
−$5 |
-100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? |
Oct 31 |
$45 |
−$45 |
-100% |
| OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? |
Oct 30 |
$9,343 |
+$26 |
+0% |
| Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on December 31? |
Oct 28 |
$16 |
−$16 |
-100% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? |
Oct 28 |
$77 |
−$77 |
-100% |
| Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025? |
Oct 28 |
$28 |
−$28 |
-100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? |
Oct 26 |
$1,702 |
−$926 |
-54% |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? |
Oct 22 |
$9,784 |
+$11,276 |
+115% |
| OpenAI browser in 2025? |
Oct 21 |
$1,820 |
+$429 |
+24% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 20? |
Oct 21 |
$809 |
+$190 |
+23% |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15? |
Oct 16 |
$1,205 |
+$611 |
+51% |
| US recession by end of 2026? |
Oct 10 |
$112 |
+$8 |
+7% |
| Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on |
Oct 01 |
$58 |
+$2 |
+4% |
| US government shutdown in 2025? |
Oct 01 |
$78 |
+$22 |
+28% |
| Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market ca |
Oct 01 |
$142 |
+$48 |
+34% |
| US government shutdown by October 1? |
Oct 01 |
$455 |
+$65 |
+14% |
| OpenAI social app in 2025? |
Sep 30 |
$4,566 |
+$1,708 |
+37% |
| OpenAI browser by September 30? |
Sep 29 |
$3,021 |
−$2,675 |
-88% |