Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:24:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x1777…d59c
crypto · 1209 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$54 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$54 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses739 / 469
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1208 / 1209
History coverage21d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day136.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1208 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$89
7 days−$94
14 days−$159
30 days+$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$19 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$18 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$13 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$7 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$15 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$15 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$16 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$10 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$13 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$14 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$27 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$15 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$14 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$11 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$11 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$16 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$24 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$16 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$17 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$24 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$19 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$29 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$19 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$22 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$18 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$29 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$54
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $35 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $24 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $43 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $9 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $19 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $7 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 382 -3.3% -12.5% 62% 48% -10.8%
≤30d 1208 -0.7% -10.2% 61% 50% -9.2%
≤90d 1208 -0.7% -10.2% 61% 50% -9.2%
all 1208 -0.7% -10.2% 61% 50% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover136.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 50% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 41% -17.9%
15% -26.6% 33% -25.9%
20% -33.8% 25% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records