Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:21:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x1791…3e87
sports · 991 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,766 -48%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,074 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$12,074
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses448 / 727
Est. fees paid−$203
Open positions13
Markets (closed)1175 / 991
History coverage24d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day115.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 13 History 1175 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,148
7 days−$9,940
14 days−$9,735
30 days−$12,074
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 61¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+65%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 67¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+50%)
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ODDIK (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D paiN Academy 33¢ 42¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+26%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs HyperSpirit 25¢ 26¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage illwill 82¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+22%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 57¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+75%)
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Clutchain 52¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+92%)
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 79¢ 84¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs Oxuji Esports 67¢ 80¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+20%)
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 8¢ 3¢ $4 $1 −$2 (-60%)
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs Eternal Fire Academy 12¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs KOLESIE 20¢ 23¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 38¢ 36¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner UCAM Esports Club 21¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Top Esports 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Mandatory vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Playoffs Gaimin Gladiators 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Enterprise Esports (BO5) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs NAVI Junior 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Four Angry Men (BO1) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Play-In Four Angry Men 10¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Shifters 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage Dortmund eSports 16¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Ghools Esports - Map 1 Winner Ghools Esports 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs 9INE 68¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Liquid 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Mandatory vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Play Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Enterprise Esports (BO5) - VCL NORTH//EAST Pl Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Four Angry Men (BO1) - BLAST R Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: Dortmund eSports vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs INTZ (BO3) - South America League Kickoff Pl Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs DarkZero Esports (BO1) - North A Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stag Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafian Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bebop (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 P Jun 14 $256 −$256 -100%
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Bonk (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Pl Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: OG vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Playo Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs ZYB Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group O Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - VCL Türkiye Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: HMBLE vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: InControl vs F5 Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Overwatch: Spacestation Gaming vs Dallas Fuel (BO3) - OCS North Americ Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: AKA HERO vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group St Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
LoL: VfB eSports vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Divisio Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs FaZe Clan (BO1) - South A Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Re Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Pl Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,812
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro BUY Oxuji Esports 67¢ $1 14m
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - European Pro Leagu BUY HyperSpirit 25¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - European Pro Leagu BUY HyperSpirit 25¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - European Pro Leagu BUY HyperSpirit 25¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY KOLESIE 20¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 95¢ $2 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 57¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 82¢ $2 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 45¢ $1 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 47¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 76¢ $2 3h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 33¢ $1 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 91¢ $2 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 61¢ $1 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 48¢ $1 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $1 4h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 21¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 51¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 52¢ $1 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 52¢ $1 5h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 79¢ $2 8h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 38¢ $1 10h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY Los Angeles Thieves 84¢ $2 12h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner BUY Los Angeles Thieves 54¢ $1 12h
Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty BUY G2 Minnesota 20¢ $1 13h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente - Map 2 Winner BUY Festina Lente 22¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Festina Lente 48¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3) - TESFE BUY Eternal Fire Academy 12¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 90¢ $2 14h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 71¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-31.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 518 -56.7% -60.8% 21% 19% -84.3%
≤30d 1175 -24.5% -31.7% 38% 33% -45.8%
≤90d 1175 -24.5% -31.7% 38% 33% -45.8%
all 1175 -24.5% -31.7% 38% 33% -45.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover115.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.7% 33% -45.8%
10% ← realistic here -38.3% 27% -50.9%
15% -44.2% 20% -55.7%
20% -49.7% 16% -60.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.93 · official $33.93 (match) · 3500 history records