Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x1791…26fc
crypto · 1318 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$142 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$144 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$144
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses490 / 827
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1317 / 1318
History coverage112d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 1317 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$16
14 days−$9
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+75%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +86%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$160
sports 22% +$35
other 4% +$35
politics 3% −$39
world 1% −$12
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-40.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 -5.9% -14.8% 52% 52% -12.7%
≤30d 245 -32.1% -38.5% 38% 38% -12.1%
≤90d 1232 -37.3% -43.3% 36% 35% -13.7%
all 1317 -34.3% -40.5% 37% 36% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -40.5% 36% -12.2%
10% -46.2% 34% -20.6%
15% -51.4% 31% -28.3%
20% -56.2% 22% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.06 · official $5.01 (match) · 3356 history records