Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T18:26:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
17 0x1799…2c3f crypto 564 markets active 0h ago coverage 35d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$122 (+1%) realized +$122 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate96%539W / 24L
Drawdown43%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day20.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$16
14 days+$53
30 days+$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$122
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 +1.5% -8.2% 96% 18% -8.9%
≤30d 438 +0.2% -9.3% 95% 11% -8.6%
≤90d 563 +0.7% -8.9% 96% 8% -8.5%
all 563 +0.7% -8.9% 96% 8% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 8% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 0% -17.2%
15% -25.5% 0% -25.2%
20% -32.8% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$17 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.3 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$122
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses539 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)563 / 564
History coverage35d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day20.7
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 563 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 19 $39 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 19 $35 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 19 $40 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 19 $38 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 19 $24 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 19 $38 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 19 $39 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $26 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$3 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $33 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $37 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 19 $18 +$2 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 19 $27 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 18 $38 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $32 +$4 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $33 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $35 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $16 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $9 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $38 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 18 $35 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 18 $35 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $18 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $32 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $36 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $39 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $17 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $36 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $32 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $13 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $28 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $22 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $38 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $34 +$3 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $39 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $21 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $40 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $38 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $24 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $0 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $38 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $36 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $11 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $33 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $17 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $14 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $27 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $38 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $32 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $15 28h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $18 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $35 28h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $16 29h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1291 history records