Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17d8…0023
sports · 433 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$87 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$60 · open +$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized+$60
Unrealized+$27
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses188 / 242
Est. fees paid−$153
Open positions3
Markets (closed)430 / 433
History coverage42d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day74.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 430 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81
7 days+$19
14 days+$194
30 days+$77
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 52¢ 100¢ $20 $38 +$18 (+92%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 53¢ 100¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+89%)
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$17 +70%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $37 −$28 -77%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $35 −$1 -2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$17 +83%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $35 −$13 -38%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $5 +$4 +90%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 $0 -3%
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$9 +90%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 −$4 -88%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) Jun 09 $5 +$5 +97%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 09 $10 +$14 +139%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $30 +$30 +99%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss S Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $30 +$27 +90%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$9 +85%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $5 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $15 +$13 +90%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$2 -46%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$7 +140%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $30 +$36 +118%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $15 +$27 +181%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $30 +$57 +190%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$87
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 45¢ $10 29m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $5 31m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $5 32m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 59¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 48¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 54¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 51¢ $5 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 52¢ $5 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 52¢ $5 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 53¢ $5 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 71¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $0 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $1 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $5 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $12 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -9.4% -18.0% 43% 34% -8.1%
≤30d 323 -7.8% -16.6% 44% 37% -8.1%
≤90d 430 -4.1% -13.2% 44% 36% -11.7%
all 430 -4.1% -13.2% 44% 36% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 36% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 34% -20.2%
15% -29.1% 32% -27.9%
20% -36.1% 29% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.57 · official $57.57 (match) · 3500 history records