Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T00:53:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
17 0x17e6…86b1 crypto 54 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (177 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$83 (+2%) realized +$83 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate70%38W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$81per market
Trades / day177.0pace
Fees−$22est.
Kalshi-fit72%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 47% +$91
other 32% −$464
sports 21% +$390
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (177 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +4.8% -5.2% 70% 54% -9.2%
≤30d 54 +4.8% -5.2% 70% 54% -9.2%
≤90d 54 +4.8% -5.2% 70% 54% -9.2%
all 54 +4.8% -5.2% 70% 54% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover177.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.2% 54% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 33% -17.9%
15% -22.5% 24% -25.8%
20% -30.1% 15% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 38% · top 2 46% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +12% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$54 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$83
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses38 / 16
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)54 / 54
History coverage1d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day177.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 54 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 22 $12 +$7 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 22 $11 $0 +1%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 21 $506 +$48 +10%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $408 −$297 -73%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $304 −$304 -100%
Spread: Spain (-3.5) Jun 21 $305 +$334 +109%
Spread: Spain (-4.5) Jun 21 $108 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 21 $401 +$9 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 21 $63 −$14 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 21 $114 +$16 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 21 $18 −$17 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 21 $61 +$25 +42%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 21 $15 +$3 +17%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 21 $90 +$18 +20%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 21 $68 +$15 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $28 +$5 +17%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $26 +$3 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 21 $36 +$3 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 21 $24 +$1 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 21 $21 +$1 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 21 $130 +$27 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 21 $38 +$15 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 21 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 21 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 21 $15 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 21 $7 −$6 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 21 $77 +$28 +36%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 21 $91 +$26 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 21 $18 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 21 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 21 $95 −$35 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 21 $15 +$5 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 21 $68 +$20 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 21 $36 +$24 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $168 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 21 $45 +$34 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 21 $65 +$26 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 21 $117 +$22 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 21 $10 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 21 $90 +$69 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 21 $85 −$48 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 21 $24 −$2 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 21 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 21 $126 −$55 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 21 $65 −$26 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 21 $38 −$19 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 21 $19 +$13 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 21 $15 +$7 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 21 $31 +$12 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $12 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 38m
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 65¢ $555 1h
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? SELL Yes 10¢ $111 2h
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 35¢ $408 2h
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 58¢ $506 3h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 58¢ $304 4h
Spread: Spain (-4.5) SELL Spain 31¢ $117 7h
Spread: Spain (-3.5) BUY Spain 47¢ $305 8h
Spread: Spain (-4.5) BUY Spain 28¢ $108 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $200 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $24 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $23 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $16 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $49 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $46 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $11 11h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $18 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $61 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 224 history records