Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:09:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
17 0x17ea…d5bb crypto 189 markets active 9h ago coverage 19d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$82 (-19%) realized −$82 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate61%115W / 74L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day11.1pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$60
14 days−$104
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 60% −$35
sports 22% −$43
other 15% −$13
world 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -62.0% -65.6% 28% 6% -63.9%
≤30d 189 -13.2% -21.5% 61% 33% -28.8%
≤90d 189 -13.2% -21.5% 61% 33% -28.8%
all 189 -13.2% -21.5% 61% 33% -28.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.5% 33% -28.8%
10% -29.0% 24% -35.6%
15% -35.9% 19% -41.8%
20% -42.1% 14% -47.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -21% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
43% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +33% → late -59% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.47 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses115 / 74
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)189 / 189
History coverage19d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 189 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +65%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$3 -45%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 $0 -7%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $8 −$1 -8%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$16 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +36%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 19h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 31h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 33h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 4d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $3 4d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $3 4d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $3 4d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 20¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 77¢ $5 4d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 23¢ $1 4d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 80¢ $5 4d
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series SELL INOX Division 51¢ $4 5d
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 62¢ $5 5d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 27¢ $2 5d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 70¢ $5 5d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $5 5d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 30¢ $2 5d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 30¢ $17 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 5d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 6d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 6d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 439 history records