Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:13:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17ed…34c7
crypto · 23 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$20 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses12 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage1d
Avg bet$124
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$20
14 days+$20
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$134 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $211 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $514 −$500 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $229 −$200 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $228 +$52 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $156 +$226 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $188 +$218 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $257 +$159 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $204 +$68 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $204 +$82 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$84 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$35 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$56 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $80 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $92 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $102 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $102 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -12.2% -20.5% 52% 48% -8.9%
≤30d 23 -12.2% -20.5% 52% 48% -8.9%
≤90d 23 -12.2% -20.5% 52% 48% -8.9%
all 23 -12.2% -20.5% 52% 48% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 48% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 48% -17.6%
15% -35.1% 39% -25.6%
20% -41.4% 26% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 72 history records