Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:58:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17ef…252a
crypto · 526 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,026 -46%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,022 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$35
Realized−$3,022
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses285 / 678
Open positions4
Markets (closed)963 / 526
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day3138.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 963 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,022
7 days−$3,022
14 days−$3,022
30 days−$3,022
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 52¢ 96¢ $5 $10 +$4 (+84%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 52¢ 81¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+57%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 57¢ 72¢ $4 $4 +$1 (+25%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 42¢ 28¢ $5 $3 −$1 (-32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 46¢ 18¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-60%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+178%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 45¢ 4¢ $5 $0 −$4 (-90%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+186%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+143%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$11 -268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -111%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$419
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $4 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-54.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 963 -49.4% -54.3% 30% 7% -38.9%
≤30d 963 -49.4% -54.3% 30% 7% -38.9%
≤90d 963 -49.4% -54.3% 30% 7% -38.9%
all 963 -49.4% -54.3% 30% 7% -38.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3138.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -54.3% 7% -38.9%
10% ← realistic here -58.6% 4% -44.7%
15% -62.6% 3% -50.1%
20% -66.3% 2% -55.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.63 · official $28.13 · 3500 history records