Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:49:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

17
0x17f7…a181
sports · 1283 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$825 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$535 · open +$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$228
Realized+$535
Unrealized+$27
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses471 / 804
Est. fees paid−$272
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1275 / 1283
History coverage79d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day17.8
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 7 History 1275 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130
7 days−$260
14 days−$519
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $100 $77 −$23 (-23%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 53¢ 56¢ $45 $48 +$3 (+7%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 37¢ 86¢ $17 $39 +$22 (+131%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 26¢ 78¢ $11 $33 +$22 (+202%)
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Nuno Borges 27¢ 28¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+6%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 20¢ 26¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+32%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 25¢ 22¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-10%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 19¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 37¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 32¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Lyon: Robin Bertrand vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Robin Bertrand 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? No 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 52¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 31¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Pedro Boscardin Dias 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Reyer Venezia 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? No 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Tom Gentzsch 21¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden Pavel Kotov 51¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Alexandra Eala 37¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse Tamara Korpatsch 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 44¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Raphael Perot Raphael Perot 26¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Ilia Simakin 32¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $51 +$34 +67%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $30 +$30 +97%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $14 −$14 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $61 −$60 -98%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $28 −$28 -98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $11 −$11 -98%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $30 +$33 +109%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $7 +$30 +414%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $23 −$23 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $22 +$30 +132%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $18 −$18 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $21 +$30 +140%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $28 +$30 +105%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $12 +$31 +250%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $11 +$29 +262%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $19 +$29 +152%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $4 +$29 +712%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 11 $33 −$33 -99%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 11 $23 −$23 -98%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 11 $36 −$36 -99%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $55 −$54 -99%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $12 +$31 +250%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $9 +$28 +307%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $13 +$30 +226%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $9 −$9 -98%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $13 −$13 -98%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $13 −$13 -98%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $33 −$33 -99%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $19 +$30 +154%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $27 +$30 +109%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $10 +$28 +276%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $18 +$29 +158%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $13 +$30 +226%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $73 +$30 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% +$459
other 16% +$127
crypto 1% −$23
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $15 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 1h
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime BUY Nuno Borges 27¢ $11 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $30 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 37¢ $17 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 26¢ $11 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 13¢ $4 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 59¢ $51 22h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 32¢ $14 23h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 50¢ $30 23h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $101 23h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 18¢ $61 23h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 50¢ $76 27h
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia BUY Reyer Venezia 20¢ $7 27h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Darja Vidmanova 47¢ $28 31h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Aoi Ito 20¢ $7 31h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 35¢ $11 31h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic BUY James Duckworth 10¢ $3 31h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 44¢ $23 2d
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Enrico Dalla Valle 26¢ $10 2d
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 30¢ $13 2d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 18¢ $6 2d
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 23¢ $9 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $30 2d
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 19¢ $7 2d
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Carlos Maria Zarate 37¢ $18 2d
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur BUY Clement Tabur 28¢ $12 2d
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 48¢ $28 2d
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 52¢ $33 2d
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Francesco Forti 42¢ $22 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -15.8% -23.8% 28% 28% -23.9%
≤30d 456 +0.6% -9.0% 30% 30% -10.0%
≤90d 1275 -0.0% -9.5% 37% 36% -7.2%
all 1275 -0.0% -9.5% 37% 36% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 36% -7.2%
10% -18.2% 36% -16.1%
15% -26.1% 35% -24.2%
20% -33.3% 32% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $227.98 · official $227.99 (match) · 2496 history records