Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:58:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
17 0x17fa…a549 crypto 60 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (113 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$23 (-6%) realized −$23 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate25%15W / 45L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day112.8pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 67% −$35
sports 29% −$6
other 4% −$2
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (113 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -15.8% -23.8% 25% 18% -19.0%
≤30d 60 -15.8% -23.8% 25% 18% -19.0%
≤90d 60 -15.8% -23.8% 25% 18% -19.0%
all 60 -15.8% -23.8% 25% 18% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover112.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.8% 18% -19.0%
10% ← realistic here -31.1% 8% -26.8%
15% -37.8% 2% -33.8%
20% -43.9% 2% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 40% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.33 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses15 / 45
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day112.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 60 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $27 +$3 +12%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $62 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -29%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -13%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -27%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -27%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $21 −$9 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL No 81¢ $7 5d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 81¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 160 history records