Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:32:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x1802…73fe
crypto · 167 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses119 / 48
Open positions0
Markets (closed)167 / 167
History coverage8d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day25.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$13
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$11
weather 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -7.0% -15.8% 70% 38% -15.3%
≤30d 167 -6.4% -15.3% 71% 40% -14.6%
≤90d 167 -6.4% -15.3% 71% 40% -14.6%
all 167 -6.4% -15.3% 71% 40% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 40% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 22% -22.8%
15% -30.8% 19% -30.3%
20% -37.6% 17% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 304 history records