Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:57:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x1803…a541
crypto · 79 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses43 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)79 / 79
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day286.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$11 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$14 +217%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$10 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -5.2% -14.3% 54% 46% -8.5%
≤30d 79 -5.2% -14.3% 54% 46% -8.5%
≤90d 79 -5.2% -14.3% 54% 46% -8.5%
all 79 -5.2% -14.3% 54% 46% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover286.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 46% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 37% -17.3%
15% -29.9% 28% -25.3%
20% -36.8% 14% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 349 history records