Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:58:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x1810…c8f8
crypto · 335 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$160 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$160
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses181 / 153
Open positions1
Markets (closed)334 / 335
History coverage12d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day58.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 334 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$84
14 days−$160
30 days−$160
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -43%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$14 -87%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -92%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -26%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$8 +157%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +69%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$20 +187%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$11 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$6 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +103%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$13 +120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +171%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$17 +313%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$5 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$17 +328%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$165
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $21 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $2 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $3 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 181 -3.6% -12.7% 51% 44% -15.2%
≤30d 334 -4.3% -13.4% 54% 44% -15.1%
≤90d 334 -4.3% -13.4% 54% 44% -15.1%
all 334 -4.3% -13.4% 54% 44% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 44% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 38% -23.3%
15% -29.3% 30% -30.7%
20% -36.2% 23% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.05 (match) · 861 history records