Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:12:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
18 0x183a…2a12 crypto 1199 markets active 1h ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (214 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,401 (-9%) realized −$1,401 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -23% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -41% what you keep after slip
Net edge-41%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate46%674W / 798L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day214.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,726
7 days−$891
14 days−$1,039
30 days−$1,039
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$678
sports 0% −$13
weather 0% −$7
other 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (214 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-30.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 876 -36.1% -42.1% 48% 48% -16.0%
≤30d 1472 -22.9% -30.2% 46% 37% -15.6%
≤90d 1472 -22.9% -30.2% 46% 37% -15.6%
all 1472 -22.9% -30.2% 46% 37% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover214.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.2% 37% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -36.9% 28% -23.7%
15% -43.0% 16% -31.1%
20% -48.6% 8% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -23% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -44% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$5 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,401
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses674 / 798
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1472 / 1199
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day214.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1472 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$3 -138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records