Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:04:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x185e…65a0
crypto · 308 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,017 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,221 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$80
Realized−$1,221
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses273 / 34
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)307 / 308
History coverage23d
Avg bet$1,107
Trades / day120.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 307 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$854
7 days+$449
14 days−$1,164
30 days−$1,221
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Down 99¢ 80¢ $99 $80 −$20 (-20%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1,968 $0 −$1,968 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $133 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $3,233 +$33 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1,981 +$19 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $79 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $191 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1,980 +$20 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $645 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2,475 +$25 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $32 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $126 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $487 +$5 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $343 +$3 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $65 −$63 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1,920 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $2,616 +$26 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $683 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $920 +$9 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $180 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1,980 +$20 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $1,125 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1,980 +$20 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1,981 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2,971 +$29 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1,981 +$19 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $539 +$5 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $315 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $57 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $56 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $164 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $43 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $135 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2,469 +$31 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $926 +$9 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $1,980 +$20 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $117 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $1,823 +$18 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $188 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1,330 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2,472 +$28 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1,970 −$1,968 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $4,950 +$50 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $203 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $653 +$7 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$1,042
other 1% −$188
sports 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $133 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $83 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $495 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $788 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $194 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $203 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $203 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $93 59m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 272 -5.3% -14.3% 93% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 307 -7.3% -16.2% 89% 2% -9.8%
≤90d 307 -7.3% -16.2% 89% 2% -9.8%
all 307 -7.3% -16.2% 89% 2% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover120.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 2% -9.8%
10% -24.2% 1% -18.5%
15% ← realistic here -31.5% 1% -26.4%
20% -38.2% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $79.50 · official $79.50 (match) · 3120 history records