Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T17:19:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
18 0x1880…eebc crypto 288 markets active 14h ago coverage 11d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 11d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (285 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,350 (+25%) realized +$2,350 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate61%175W / 113L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day285.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 11d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$329
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (285 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 227 -5.2% -14.3% 63% 56% -14.5%
≤30d 288 -5.5% -14.5% 61% 54% -12.8%
≤90d 288 -5.5% -14.5% 61% 54% -12.8%
all 288 -5.5% -14.5% 61% 54% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover285.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 54% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 34% -21.1%
15% -30.1% 24% -28.7%
20% -37.0% 18% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$23 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,350
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses175 / 113
Open positions0
Markets (closed)288 / 288
History coverage11d ⚠
Avg bet$32
Trades / day285.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 288 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $32 −$23 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $32 −$15 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$26 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +79%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 17 $20 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $14 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $13 +$7 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $31 +$26 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$16 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$17 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$14 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$18 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$8 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$8 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$13 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $20 −$11 -56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $29 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $32 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $16 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $7 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $0 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $27 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 26h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 18¢ $19 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records