Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:24:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
18 0x1884…2182 crypto 697 markets active 7d ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$52 (-6%) realized −$52 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate44%307W / 390L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day94.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$7
14 days−$61
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -8.1% -16.9% 44% 44% -15.5%
≤30d 697 -6.6% -15.5% 44% 44% -16.4%
≤90d 697 -6.6% -15.5% 44% 44% -16.4%
all 697 -6.6% -15.5% 44% 44% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 44% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 44% -24.4%
15% -31.0% 44% -31.7%
20% -37.7% 44% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×1.1 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses307 / 390
Open positions0
Markets (closed)697 / 697
History coverage8d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day94.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 697 Trades
no open positions (390 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +173%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1020 history records