Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:18:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x1895…02fb
crypto · 353 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$74,405 -697%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,096 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$6,096
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses109 / 384
Open positions1
Markets (closed)493 / 353
History coverage7d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day458.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 493 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,552
7 days−$6,141
14 days−$6,096
30 days−$6,096
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 38¢ 22¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $183 $0 −$183 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $183 −$183 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $325 −$325 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$846
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $8 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $8 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $9 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-45.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 481 -41.4% -47.0% 21% 17% -45.6%
≤30d 493 -39.7% -45.5% 22% 18% -44.7%
≤90d 493 -39.7% -45.5% 22% 18% -44.7%
all 493 -39.7% -45.5% 22% 18% -44.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover458.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.5% 18% -44.7%
10% ← realistic here -50.7% 15% -50.0%
15% -55.4% 12% -54.9%
20% -59.8% 9% -59.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.70 · official $2.57 (match) · 3500 history records