Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x1895…32fb
crypto · 127 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$30 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses89 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)127 / 127
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 127 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$26
other 1% $0
world 0% −$1
weather 0% −$1
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $6 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -12.3% -20.6% 73% 25% -14.4%
≤30d 112 -12.3% -20.6% 73% 25% -14.4%
≤90d 112 -12.3% -20.6% 73% 25% -14.4%
all 127 -11.1% -19.6% 70% 28% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.6% 28% -14.2%
10% -27.3% 17% -22.4%
15% -34.3% 6% -29.9%
20% -40.7% 5% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 284 history records