Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:00:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x18bb…e5cd
sports · 191 markets active 5d ago
0.0score
−$1,371,016 -243%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,371,016 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,371,016
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses33 / 528
Whale WR (big bets)5%
Est. fees paid−$11,849
Open positions0
Markets (closed)561 / 191
Avg bet$2,951
Trades / day68.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 561 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,207,483
7 days−$1,257,642
14 days−$1,180,217
30 days−$1,193,492
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs 3DMAX 34¢ 0¢ $9,226 $0 −$9,226 (-100%)
Magic vs. Cavaliers Magic 20¢ 0¢ $4,000 $0 −$4,000 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Clippers Bucks 13¢ 0¢ $1,300 $0 −$1,300 (-100%)
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season VfB eSports 15¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Voca 27¢ 0¢ $14,184 $0 −$14,184 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Astralis 19¢ 0¢ $3,732 $0 −$3,732 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Tricked - Map 1 Winner Tricked 11¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season Kaufland Hangry Knights 24¢ 0¢ $2,345 $0 −$2,345 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 14¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winner Fisher College 21¢ 0¢ $550 $0 −$550 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B LYON 1¢ 0¢ $268 $0 −$268 (-100%)
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Oman vs Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia 3¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner G2 Esports 33¢ 0¢ $3,255 $0 −$3,255 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winner Leviatan Esports 18¢ 0¢ $1,014 $0 −$1,014 (-100%)
Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner Nova Esports 21¢ 0¢ $379 $0 −$379 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Lakers Bulls 13¢ 0¢ $1,622 $0 −$1,622 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B LYON 6¢ 0¢ $2,831 $0 −$2,831 (-100%)
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner REKONIX 34¢ 0¢ $3,713 $0 −$3,713 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 38¢ 0¢ $2,777 $0 −$2,777 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner Alliance 17¢ 0¢ $580 $0 −$580 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 38¢ 0¢ $9,239 $0 −$9,239 (-100%)
Grizzlies vs. Hawks Grizzlies 12¢ 0¢ $2,400 $0 −$2,400 (-100%)
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks High Point Panthers 15¢ 0¢ $1,497 $0 −$1,497 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 22¢ 0¢ $4,137 $0 −$4,137 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Jun 12 $9,226 −$9,226 -100%
Magic vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $4,000 −$4,000 -100%
Bucks vs. Clippers Jun 12 $1,300 −$1,300 -100%
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League Jun 12 $145 −$145 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group St Jun 12 $14,184 −$14,184 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,732 −$3,732 -100%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Tricked - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO1) - Prime League 1st Divis Jun 12 $2,345 −$2,345 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,800 −$1,800 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B Jun 12 $268 −$268 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $3,255 −$4,995 -153%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,014 −$1,090 -108%
Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $379 −$379 -100%
Bulls vs. Lakers Jun 12 $1,622 −$1,622 -100%
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B Jun 12 $2,831 −$2,831 -100%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,713 −$3,733 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,777 −$2,777 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $580 −$602 -104%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $9,239 −$9,239 -100%
Grizzlies vs. Hawks Jun 12 $2,400 −$2,400 -100%
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Jun 12 $1,497 −$1,497 -100%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $850 −$850 -100%
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $360 −$360 -100%
Nets vs. Lakers Jun 12 $1,204 −$1,204 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,698 −$5,698 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-15.5) Jun 12 $1,960 −$1,960 -100%
Knicks vs. Pacers Jun 12 $1,800 −$1,800 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,422 −$2,422 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,774 −$4,774 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,840 −$3,840 -100%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines Jun 12 $6,886 −$6,886 -100%
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,057 −$1,057 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,213 −$8,120 -156%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $950 −$950 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $4,536 −$4,536 -100%
Wizards vs. Knicks Jun 12 $3,875 −$3,875 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,600 −$3,600 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,141 −$5,591 -178%
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes Jun 12 $4,054 −$4,163 -103%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs BESTIA (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C Jun 12 $910 −$910 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $617 −$617 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $827 −$1,331 -161%
LoL: HMBLE vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season Jun 12 $651 −$656 -101%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Jun 12 $4,700 −$4,700 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $879 −$879 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,499 −$1,499 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,100 −$1,100 -100%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers Jun 12 $395 −$395 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Jun 12 $1,769 −$1,769 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,000 −$4,000 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$165,591
other 1% +$2,058
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 37¢ $248 4d
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres SELL San Diego Padres 99¢ $247 5d
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 33¢ $84 5d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 7¢ $144 5d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Angels 1¢ $103 5d
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playo BUY mCon esports 4¢ $0 5d
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playo BUY mCon esports 4¢ $2 5d
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playo BUY mCon esports 4¢ $0 5d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 12¢ $28 5d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Hannah Klugman SELL Hannah Klugman 10¢ $30 5d
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Hannah Klugman BUY Hannah Klugman 13¢ $41 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $470 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $3 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $3 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $323 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $2 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $0 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $10 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $10 5d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 17¢ $24 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 17¢ $256 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 26¢ $399 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 32¢ $2 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 32¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 32¢ $2 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 32¢ $444 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 30¢ $37 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-72.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 402 -99.1% -99.2% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 450 -80.6% -82.5% 3% 3% -89.1%
≤90d 561 -69.7% -72.6% 6% 6% -80.0%
all 561 -69.7% -72.6% 6% 6% -80.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -72.6% 6% -80.0%
10% -75.2% 6% -81.9%
15% ← realistic here -77.6% 6% -83.7%
20% -79.8% 6% -85.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records