Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x18c8…977c
crypto · 83 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$200 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$295 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$295
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses36 / 47
Open positions0
Markets (closed)83 / 83
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day133.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$295
7 days−$295
14 days−$295
30 days−$295
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$7 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$25 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$15 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$42 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$28 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$55 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$18 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$16 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$30 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$20 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$22 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $56 −$39 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$21 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$30 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$21 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$18 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$24 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$25 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$16 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$40 +187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$10 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$30 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$20 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$24 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$24 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$295
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $11 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $37 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $13 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $18 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $15 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $18 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $32 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $18 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $16 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $23 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -7.7% -16.5% 43% 43% -22.6%
≤30d 83 -7.7% -16.5% 43% 43% -22.6%
≤90d 83 -7.7% -16.5% 43% 43% -22.6%
all 83 -7.7% -16.5% 43% 43% -22.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover133.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 43% -22.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 43% -30.0%
15% -31.7% 43% -36.8%
20% -38.4% 39% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 187 history records