Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

18
0x18d3…b84f
crypto · 489 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$178 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$74 · open +$76
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$409
Realized+$74
Unrealized+$76
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses291 / 193
Open positions9
Markets (closed)484 / 489
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day2373.0
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 9 History 484 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$74
7 days+$74
14 days+$74
30 days+$74
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No 35¢ 53¢ $165 $247 +$82 (+49%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 29¢ 69¢ $36 $85 +$49 (+135%)
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No 34¢ 18¢ $77 $42 −$35 (-46%)
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $22 $21 −$1 (-3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 47¢ 56¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+20%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 62¢ 42¢ $4 $2 −$1 (-33%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-99%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$15 -200%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$10 -19%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +41%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +24%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$29 -55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$3 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$8 -16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -35%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +30%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$3 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$7 +29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +28%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$8 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$4 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +77%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$3 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -30%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +76%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$24
other 28% +$189
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 2m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $6 3m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 4m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 4m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 5m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $7 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 484 +4.4% -5.5% 60% 51% -8.6%
≤30d 484 +4.4% -5.5% 60% 51% -8.6%
≤90d 484 +4.4% -5.5% 60% 51% -8.6%
all 484 +4.4% -5.5% 60% 51% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2373.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.5% 51% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -14.6% 38% -17.4%
15% -22.8% 24% -25.3%
20% -30.4% 15% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $409.43 · official $411.29 (match) · 3500 history records