trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +89.6% | +71.5% | 100% | 100% | +71.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +91.4% | +73.2% | 100% | 100% | +72.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +27.6% | +15.4% | 80% | 50% | +14.7% |
| all | 37 | +17.3% | +6.1% | 70% | 46% | +15.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.1% | 46% | +15.6% |
| 10% | -4.0% | 46% | +4.5% |
| 15% | -13.3% | 46% | -5.6% |
| 20% | -21.8% | 46% | -14.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Over | 54¢ | 54¢ | $348 | $345 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $90 | $90 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 19 | $211 | +$189 | +90% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 | Jun 11 | $109 | +$101 | +93% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5 | May 19 | $107 | −$107 | -100% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 03 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Apr 24 | $421 | −$421 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) | Apr 14 | $218 | +$203 | +93% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Apr 06 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Celtics vs. Hawks | Apr 06 | $107 | +$101 | +95% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 30 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Canadiens vs. Red Wings | Mar 24 | $389 | +$404 | +104% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Mar 19 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 19 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Mar 19 | $206 | +$177 | +86% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3? | Mar 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Wild vs. Golden Knights | Mar 10 | $108 | +$108 | +100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 | Mar 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 20 | Feb 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Team USA Stars vs. Team USA Stripes | Feb 27 | $92 | −$92 | -100% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) | Feb 03 | $107 | −$107 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5 | Jan 19 | $92 | −$92 | -100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | Jan 13 | $414 | +$382 | +92% |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) | Jan 10 | $207 | +$207 | +100% |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) | Jan 07 | $106 | +$101 | +96% |
| Nets vs. Wizards | Jan 03 | $401 | +$434 | +108% |
| O/U 48.5 | Jan 02 | $218 | +$179 | +82% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Broncos (-13.5) | Dec 27 | $113 | +$109 | +96% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) | Dec 23 | $370 | −$370 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Dec 20 | $199 | +$176 | +89% |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? | Dec 20 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Ducks vs. Rangers | Dec 18 | $94 | +$110 | +117% |
| Spread: Eagles (-2.5) | Dec 09 | $92 | −$92 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | Dec 03 | $403 | −$403 | -100% |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5 | Dec 02 | $208 | +$192 | +92% |
| Clippers vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5 | Nov 27 | $103 | +$107 | +104% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 202 | Nov 16 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 | Nov 13 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |