trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 28 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | Jun 26 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | Jun 26 | $974 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in June? | Jun 26 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 26 | $1,001 | −$1 | -0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May | May 04 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 04 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | May 04 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 30 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 30 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 30 | $826 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2 | Apr 30 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | Apr 30 | $763 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 30 | $831 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 30 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 30 | $853 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Apr 30 | $3 | −$2 | -50% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 30 | $851 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? | Apr 30 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? | Apr 30 | $802 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Apr 30 | $875 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Apr 30 | $846 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in April 2026? | Mar 28 | $102 | $0 | -0% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 28 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March? | Mar 28 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 March 16-22? | Mar 24 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brighton finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier Leagu | Mar 23 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Mar 23 | $39 | $0 | -0% |