trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -43.6% | -49.0% | 40% | 40% | +2.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -43.6% | -49.0% | 40% | 40% | +2.7% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -48.3% | -53.2% | 29% | 29% | -12.6% |
| all | 22 | -51.9% | -56.5% | 23% | 14% | -17.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -56.5% | 14% | -17.0% |
| 10% | -60.7% | 14% | -25.0% |
| 15% | -64.5% | 9% | -32.2% |
| 20% | -68.0% | 9% | -38.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | Jun 29 | $89 | −$23 | -26% |
| Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 29 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan? | Jun 29 | $66 | +$36 | +55% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Japan? | Jun 29 | $85 | +$22 | +26% |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 14 | $90 | −$18 | -20% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | Jul 16 | $2 | −$1 | -38% |
| Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged? | Nov 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November? | Nov 18 | $6 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | Nov 13 | $12 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November? | Nov 11 | $6 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November? | Nov 11 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | Nov 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will either candidate concede by Friday? | Nov 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trump wins every swing state? | Nov 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024? | Nov 06 | $8 | −$2 | -18% |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1? | Nov 05 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1? | Nov 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? | Nov 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? | Oct 28 | $23 | +$15 | +66% |