trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 20¢ | $2,005 | $4,396 | +$2,391 (+119%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | Yes | 9¢ | 2¢ | $14,548 | $2,478 | −$12,070 (-83%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Yes | 14¢ | 4¢ | $8,927 | $2,269 | −$6,658 (-75%) |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 36¢ | 80¢ | $917 | $2,050 | +$1,133 (+124%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | Yes | 14¢ | 2¢ | $6,589 | $1,062 | −$5,527 (-84%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? | Yes | 32¢ | 8¢ | $3,266 | $866 | −$2,400 (-73%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Yes | 9¢ | 1¢ | $4,796 | $699 | −$4,097 (-85%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | Yes | 39¢ | 12¢ | $2,121 | $627 | −$1,494 (-70%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 10¢ | 1¢ | $3,038 | $365 | −$2,673 (-88%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | Yes | 21¢ | 5¢ | $1,110 | $281 | −$829 (-75%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 | Jun 12 | $95,301 | +$75,777 | +80% |
| Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Fonseca (+2.5) | Jun 06 | $1,377 | −$1,376 | -100% |
| Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5) | Jun 06 | $2,953 | −$2,953 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca | Jun 06 | $83,222 | −$82,038 | -99% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo | Jun 06 | $95,930 | −$95,930 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi | Jun 06 | $201,840 | −$201,840 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana | Jun 06 | $149,443 | −$149,443 | -100% |
| Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5) | Jun 03 | $908 | +$984 | +108% |
| Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5) | Jun 01 | $29,149 | +$23,720 | +81% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev | May 31 | $158,395 | +$13,766 | +9% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 31 | $247,996 | +$151,997 | +61% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda | May 30 | $49,696 | +$531,509 | +1070% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 30 | $7,102 | −$7,088 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | May 29 | $168,185 | +$296,602 | +176% |
| Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 28 | $18 | +$7 | +40% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic | May 27 | $62,108 | +$91,446 | +147% |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 27 | $100,149 | +$103,518 | +103% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 25 | $32,844 | +$45,356 | +138% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 19 | $52,939 | +$301,110 | +569% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -74.1% | -76.6% | 14% | 14% | -75.3% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +99.2% | +80.2% | 63% | 58% | +54.8% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +99.2% | +80.2% | 63% | 58% | +54.8% |
| all | 19 | +99.2% | +80.2% | 63% | 58% | +54.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +80.2% | 58% | +54.8% |
| 10% | +63.0% | 58% | +40.0% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +47.2% | 58% | +26.5% |
| 20% | +32.8% | 53% | +14.1% |