Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:31:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
19 0x1928…1171 crypto 390 markets active 4h ago coverage 12d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$28 (+0%) realized +$28 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate86%336W / 54L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day34.3pace
Fees−$7est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58
7 days+$63
14 days−$83
30 days−$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% +$325
sports 5% −$174
other 3% −$50
weather 2% −$184
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -2.3% -11.6% 88% 43% -9.1%
≤30d 390 -1.2% -10.6% 86% 48% -10.0%
≤90d 390 -1.2% -10.6% 86% 48% -10.0%
all 390 -1.2% -10.6% 86% 48% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 48% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 12% -18.6%
15% -26.9% 3% -26.5%
20% -34.1% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$35 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses336 / 54
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)390 / 390
History coverage12d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day34.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 390 Trades
no open positions (49 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $19 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $19 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $19 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $19 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$19 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $19 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$3 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$3 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +17%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$4 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$3 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$2 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $11 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $19 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $20 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $11 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $19 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $19 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $19 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $19 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $19 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $19 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $11 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 757 history records