Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:13:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
19 0x1944…c05d crypto 325 markets active 4h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (204 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$900 (-2%) realized −$900 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate21%70W / 271L
Whale WR28%big bets
Drawdown81%max
Avg bet$132per market
Trades / day203.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,347
world 0% −$1
politics 0% −$2
other 0% $0
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (204 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 -20.7% -28.3% 9% 3% -35.9%
≤30d 341 +6.3% -3.8% 21% 10% -6.7%
≤90d 341 +6.3% -3.8% 21% 10% -6.7%
all 341 +6.3% -3.8% 21% 10% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover203.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.8% 10% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.0% 8% -15.7%
15% -21.4% 5% -23.8%
20% -29.1% 5% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 28% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +29% → late -17% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$119 vs −$26 · ×4.53 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.17 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$900
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses70 / 271
Whale WR (big bets)28%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)341 / 325
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$132
Trades / day203.6
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 341 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? Jun 20 $7 −$8 -110%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30? Jun 20 $333 −$298 -89%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2? Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30? Jun 20 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31? Jun 20 $14 −$20 -143%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 25-31? Jun 20 $67 −$70 -104%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31? Jun 20 $349 −$388 -111%
Will Solana dip to $80 in May? Jun 20 $64 −$62 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 1? Jun 20 $2 −$2 -105%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31? Jun 20 $55 −$62 -112%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2? Jun 20 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31? Jun 20 $20 −$20 -101%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? Jun 20 $3 +$18 +651%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? Jun 20 $94 −$127 -135%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30? Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1? Jun 20 $19 −$19 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 26? Jun 20 $6 −$1 -14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 24? Jun 20 $33 −$9 -28%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24? Jun 20 $13 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 23? Jun 20 $29 −$2 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25? Jun 20 $6 −$1 -13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25? Jun 20 $12 −$1 -8%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 22? Jun 20 $30 −$3 -11%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 21? Jun 20 $17 −$5 -30%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 23? Jun 20 $13 −$4 -28%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 24? Jun 20 $12 −$1 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 23? Jun 20 $35 −$6 -18%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 20? Jun 19 $6 −$1 -16%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 23? Jun 19 $6 −$1 -10%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 23? Jun 19 $13 −$2 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 21? Jun 19 $67 −$7 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 25? Jun 19 $20 −$4 -20%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 23? Jun 19 $6 −$2 -28%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 22? Jun 19 $6 −$2 -30%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 22? Jun 19 $23 −$6 -26%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 22? Jun 19 $68 −$7 -10%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 21? Jun 19 $25 −$10 -38%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 20? Jun 18 $6 −$2 -39%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 20? Jun 18 $55 −$6 -11%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 19? Jun 18 $13 −$5 -38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 19? Jun 18 $48 −$3 -7%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 18? Jun 17 $25 −$4 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 19? Jun 17 $62 −$7 -12%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Jun 17 $183 −$23 -13%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 18? Jun 17 $13 +$1 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22? Jun 17 $24 −$3 -14%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 18? Jun 17 $44 −$8 -19%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 20? Jun 17 $31 −$10 -31%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 21? Jun 17 $6 −$2 -28%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22? Jun 17 $13 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 26? SELL No 52¢ $6 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 24? SELL No 73¢ $6 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24? SELL No 53¢ $6 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 23? SELL No 68¢ $22 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25? SELL No 52¢ $6 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25? SELL No 72¢ $6 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 22? SELL No 36¢ $3 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 21? SELL No 18¢ $2 4h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 23? BUY No 71¢ $16 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24? BUY No 52¢ $6 5h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 23? SELL No 31¢ $4 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25? BUY No 56¢ $6 6h
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 23? BUY No 43¢ $6 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 26? BUY No 57¢ $6 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25? BUY No 76¢ $6 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 24? BUY No 76¢ $6 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 24? SELL No 66¢ $6 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 23? SELL No 66¢ $5 7h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 22? BUY No 50¢ $5 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 23? BUY No 70¢ $6 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 24? BUY No 69¢ $6 7h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 23? BUY No 61¢ $6 7h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 21? BUY No 42¢ $5 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 24? SELL No 72¢ $0 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25? SELL No 71¢ $0 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 23? SELL No 59¢ $1 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 23? SELL No 59¢ $5 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25? SELL No 70¢ $5 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 24? SELL No 72¢ $6 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25? BUY No 73¢ $6 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records