trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 20% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 18% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 18% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 20 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 35% | 5% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.2% | 5% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 0% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -29.1% | 0% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -33.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 23 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 06 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $58 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 03 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 202 | Apr 12 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president | Apr 12 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 23 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 20 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Mar 20 | $14 | $0 | -1% |