trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 100% | 0% | -7.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +3.4% | -6.5% | 100% | 0% | -6.3% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 100% | 0% | -6.8% |
| all | 7 | +3.1% | -6.7% | 100% | 0% | -6.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -6.7% | 0% | -6.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -15.6% | 0% | -15.7% |
| 15% | -23.8% | 0% | -23.8% |
| 20% | -31.3% | 0% | -31.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $2,648 | $2,709 | +$60 (+2%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $1,984 | $1,989 | +$5 (+0%) |
| Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 96¢ | 99¢ | $956 | $991 | +$35 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $980 | +$20 | +2% |
| Will Iran Play in the World Cup? | Jun 16 | $3,176 | +$97 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $3,118 | +$164 | +5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Jun 01 | $6,259 | +$199 | +3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee | Apr 30 | $6,026 | +$117 | +2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Apr 01 | $105 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 15 | $100 | +$5 | +5% |