Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:07:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x1979…7c9d
crypto · 64 markets active 103d ago
0.0score
+$11,073 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11,073 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$11,073
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses45 / 33
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)78 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$708
Trades / day3407.0
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 78 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,438
7 days+$6,438
14 days+$6,438
30 days+$6,438
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 28¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 31¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 50¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 15¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 12¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 6AM ET Up 37¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 40¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 23¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 13¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 36¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 37¢ $255 $0 −$255 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET Down 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12PM ET Up 18¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 28¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +707%
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$35 +36956%
XRP Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$89 +222903%
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$89 +191853%
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$246 +105672%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$77 +50093%
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$64 +237391%
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$40 +11025%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $255 +$7 +3%
Solana Up or Down - February 10, 3AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$282 -53477%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5,739 +3831014%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$332 +5182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Mar 01 $180 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Mar 01 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Mar 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Mar 01 $882 +$431 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Mar 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Mar 01 $40 +$6 +15%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Mar 01 $191 −$33 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Mar 01 $1,482 −$43 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Mar 01 $3,033 −$324 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Mar 01 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Mar 01 $265 −$21 -8%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Mar 01 $74 +$22 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Mar 01 $653 +$72 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Mar 01 $1,679 +$51 +3%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Mar 01 $70 −$18 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Mar 01 $551 +$103 +19%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Mar 01 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Mar 01 $11 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Mar 01 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Mar 01 $200 +$39 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Mar 01 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Mar 01 $11 +$6 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Mar 01 $344 +$52 +15%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Mar 01 $263 +$22 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Mar 01 $3,721 −$1,086 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Mar 01 $1,516 +$223 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Mar 01 $752 +$82 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Mar 01 $2,159 +$527 +24%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Mar 01 $279 +$79 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Mar 01 $1,364 −$150 -11%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Mar 01 $161 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Mar 01 $3,450 +$196 +6%
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Mar 01 $547 −$20 -4%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Mar 01 $187 −$27 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Mar 01 $668 −$46 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Mar 01 $867 +$205 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4,635
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $10 102d
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $62 102d
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $65 102d
XRP Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $74 102d
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 100¢ $146 102d
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $112 102d
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $286 102d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $393 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up $8 102d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $1,754 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $90 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down $1 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down $1 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $89 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down $1 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $73 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down $1 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $35 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down $1 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $21 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down $1 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down $0 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down $0 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down $0 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down $0 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down $0 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down $0 102d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down $0 102d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+239.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +1315.0% +1180.2% 79% 71% +44.5%
≤30d 14 +1315.0% +1180.2% 79% 71% +44.5%
≤90d 14 +1315.0% +1180.2% 79% 71% +44.5%
all 78 +275.1% +239.3% 58% 44% -0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3407.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +239.3% 44% -0.5%
10% +206.9% 31% -10.1%
15% ← realistic here +177.2% 23% -18.7%
20% +150.0% 22% -26.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records