Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:37:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

19
0x197e…4ad6
crypto · 1787 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1587 / 214
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1801 / 1787
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1801 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$39
14 days−$55
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 95¢ 84¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$16
sports 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 7h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 98¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 261 -7.1% -15.9% 82% 44% -18.2%
≤30d 922 -3.3% -12.5% 86% 42% -12.3%
≤90d 1784 -0.9% -10.3% 88% 38% -10.1%
all 1801 -0.8% -10.3% 88% 39% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 39% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 4% -18.6%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.97 · official $0.97 (match) · 3500 history records