Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:31:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
19 0x1991…348e sports 185 markets active 2h ago coverage 24d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (146 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL +$2,339 (+7%) realized +$2,339 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -1% what you keep after slip
Net edge-1%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate41%80W / 114L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$188per market
Trades / day146.5pace
Fees−$854est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 24d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (146 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +10.7% +0.2% 45% 13% -7.5%
≤30d 194 +28.1% +15.9% 41% 20% -8.4%
≤90d 194 +28.1% +15.9% 41% 20% -8.4%
all 194 +28.1% +15.9% 41% 20% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover146.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.9% 20% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here +4.8% 14% -17.1%
15% -5.3% 11% -25.1%
20% -14.6% 10% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
49% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +28% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +46% → late +10% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
9.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$8 · ×1.67 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.17 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,339
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses80 / 114
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$854
Open positions0
Markets (closed)194 / 185
History coverage24d ⚠
Avg bet$188
Trades / day146.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 194 Trades
no open positions (64 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ALGO Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $9 −$6 -64%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $12 +$92 +770%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $12 +$26 +217%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $3 +$1 +51%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $11 −$4 -32%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner Jun 17 $3 +$26 +858%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $2 −$15 -737%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo Jun 17 $42 −$13 -31%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $59 −$9 -15%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl Jun 17 $191 −$7 -4%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 16 $475 +$34 +7%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $311 −$16 -5%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $527 +$36 +7%
Dota 2: Flame Team vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 16 $30 −$7 -22%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 16 $4 −$1 -18%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $43 +$8 +19%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $248 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playof Jun 16 $57 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 16 $585 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $309 −$5 -2%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner Jun 16 $218 +$29 +13%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $469 −$9 -2%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Sta Jun 15 $76 −$18 -24%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $220 −$3 -1%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $304 −$14 -4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $496 +$7 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $413 −$19 -4%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $108 +$4 +3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $187 −$4 -2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $352 +$21 +6%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $472 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $174 −$5 -3%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $439 −$27 -6%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $448 +$20 +4%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $916 +$92 +10%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $406 −$1 -0%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $208 +$10 +5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $76 −$5 -6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $105 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $779 +$14 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $89 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $505 +$15 +3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $647 −$6 -1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $95 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $508 +$11 +2%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $146 −$21 -14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $294 +$27 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo SELL TDK 23¢ $23 1h
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo BUY TDK 35¢ $36 1h
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo SELL Team Nemesis 63¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo BUY Team Nemesis 58¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner SELL SPARTA 50¢ $50 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY SPARTA 58¢ $57 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner BUY SPARTA 44¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl SELL K27 11¢ $8 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl SELL K27 13¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl SELL K27 12¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY K27 22¢ $23 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl SELL Nuclear TigeRES 58¢ $38 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl SELL Nuclear TigeRES 58¢ $18 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY Nuclear TigeRES 47¢ $12 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY Nuclear TigeRES 47¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY Nuclear TigeRES 47¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY Nuclear TigeRES 47¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY Nuclear TigeRES 47¢ $18 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY Nuclear TigeRES 47¢ $9 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl SELL Nuclear TigeRES 69¢ $68 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY Nuclear TigeRES 71¢ $72 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl SELL K27 17¢ $16 4h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY K27 10¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl SELL K27 20¢ $14 5h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl SELL K27 22¢ $6 5h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY K27 31¢ $29 5h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY K27 31¢ $2 5h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl SELL K27 44¢ $11 5h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Pl BUY K27 42¢ $11 5h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S SELL GenOne 98¢ $23 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records