Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:13:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
19 0x19ab…196c crypto 61 markets active 3d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (120 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$17 (-9%) realized −$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate54%33W / 28L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day119.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$26
other 1% $0
sports 1% $0
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (120 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -19.0% -26.8% 54% 46% -25.5%
≤30d 61 -19.0% -26.8% 54% 46% -25.5%
≤90d 61 -19.0% -26.8% 54% 46% -25.5%
all 61 -19.0% -26.8% 54% 46% -25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover119.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.8% 46% -25.5%
10% ← realistic here -33.8% 30% -32.6%
15% -40.2% 18% -39.2%
20% -46.0% 15% -45.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -26% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.45 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses33 / 28
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)61 / 61
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day119.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 61 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $13 +$5 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$3 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +15%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +44%
France vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? Jun 16 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 16 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? Jun 16 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$3 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 154 history records